Sunday, January 16, 2011
Asking the important questions: Does "icing the kicker" actually work? Or does it only appear to work?
Discuss amongst yourselves.
That was good, that they considered the issue of selection bias. So often you get stats like these "raw" without considering that kind of stuff.
I have heard that some kickers actually like it if the timeout is called just in time but late enough that it doesn't stop the snap and kick - that way they get a free "practice" kick.
Oops, didn't actually "discuss". My guess is that if you take selection bias out you would be down to something almost statistically insignificant, 3-4%. But if it's a game-deciding kick with no time left and the coach has a timeout to burn, he might as well use it even for a trivial advantage. I bet that drives a lot of these decisions - the coach saw it work once so why not give it a shot?