Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Brush 'em back: Christie leads Corzine by 14 in latest poll
Apparently Barack Obama's reluctant embrace did, well, nothing to bolster Jon Corzine's flagging popularity. Indeed, it may have hurt him (emphasis added):
Republican gubernatorial nominee Chris Christie leads Governor Jon Corzine by 14 points among likely voters but only four points among registered voters, according to a Monmouth University/Gannett poll released this morning.
Among likely voters, Christie leads Corzine 50% to 36%, with independent Christopher Daggett clocking in at 4%. That’s up significantly from last month, when Christie held an eight point lead over Corzine.
Nothing much has happened in New Jersey since President Obama's campaign stop here, so you have to wonder whether it might have hurt Corzine more than it helped him. This is not to say that Obama is personally unpopular in New Jersey -- quite the opposite -- but I wonder whether the visit associated Corzine with the increasingly unpopular policies rolling out of Washington's Democratic machine.
In either case, if Christie wins New Jersey -- the most Democratic state in the country by some measures -- in three short months it will change the political calculus for any Democrat who is not in a completely safe seat. If Christie's lead holds after Labor Day, expect the Obamans to try to ram everything through Congress by the end of October.
11 Comments:
By 
, at
Tue Aug 04, 01:25:00 PM:
....nothing much has happened in New Jersey.......
Well not unless of course you count the several dozen perps including mayors and rabbis who were busted for every kind of illegal behavior including the Kash for Kidneys organ swap market........
By 
TigerHawk, at
Tue Aug 04, 01:26:00 PM:
Well, that's a good point! Brain fart on my part.
By Greg Toombs, at
Tue Aug 04, 01:31:00 PM:
The trouble with Christie is that there isn't really a functioning Republican party in NJ, therefore no significant governing difference between them and the Democrats, except for musical patronage chairs. I defy anyone to tell me what the impact of a Republican victory in NJ will be, other than a very satisfying in-your-face to Obama and his MSM shills.
By , at
Tue Aug 04, 02:02:00 PM:
from a post the other day, here is respected political analyst Stuart Rothenberg saying the race is all but over:
You Have 4 Months To Learn to Say ‘Gov. Chris Christie’
Also as posted the other day, Politico says Democrats are starting to think about replacing Corzine on the ticket:
"In one sign of the reconfigured landscape, Republican candidates lead in the polls in this fall’s closely watched gubernatorial elections — in New Jersey and Virginia. In New Jersey, where first-term Democrat Gov. Jon Corzine trails his challenger by double digits, a far-reaching corruption investigation has led to the resignation of one member of Corzine’s Cabinet and insider speculation about whether Corzine should be replaced on the ticket in November by a more viable Democratic nominee."
It's still a long time until the election. We can still lose this thing and, given the past election results in our state, I think you have to still regard Christie as the underdog.
By , at
Tue Aug 04, 02:31:00 PM:
Recently Corzine, or Corzine supporters ,have been running negative ads targeting past behaviours of Christie's. Seems a bit much this early in a campaign that has been rather low key.
By , at
Tue Aug 04, 02:40:00 PM:
Those adverts have been going full tilt for a month. Low key, nothing! They're scared.
By , at
Tue Aug 04, 02:56:00 PM:
Greg Toombs ... if you mean, can a Republican governor change the political culture of corruption in NJ, when all of the crony jobs are held by Dems, the answer is probably not, or not quickly.
I think TH's point speaks to sentiment. If the R-team can take NJ, then it theoretically puts a lot of states in play, as it indicates that the growing distrust/dissatisfaction with this administration is greater than the WH would want to admit. Rasmussen's polling suggests there could be some 'hope for change' among the right of center folk.
By , at
Tue Aug 04, 03:31:00 PM:
When christie wins in november, that hum you hear across the state is thousands of paper shredders being turned on and used.
By Christopher Chambers, at
Tue Aug 04, 03:55:00 PM:
These criminals in office now--aren't many of them "no tax" law and order Republicans? Does this dude Christie have any relationship with them? I'm just asking.
Otherwise, I'm happy for you. Here's some other good news: Soulja Boy is taking time off from "bamma" (Southern) hip hop to attend college, and Eminem has apologized to Mariah Carey...
...sooooo, be careful what you wish for. Inheriting a mess often begets a bigger one. Isn't that what you're saying is going on in the White House?
By , at
Tue Aug 04, 04:15:00 PM:
Obama's inherited mess is due not in small part to the moves made by the Democrat controlled Congress of the later part of Bush's second term. And he's clearly made the situation worse in last six months.
If a state like NJ turns, which is strongly Democrat ... what other states stand to flip? Pretty soon it'll b time for ACORN to start the buses rolling ...
By joated, at
Thu Aug 06, 07:58:00 AM:
So, when will the Dems switch candidates? Or is the election to far in the future to think about that. Maybe they'll wait until late September.
As for the ability of a Repub Gov to clean up corruption.... Depends upon the GOv. Seemed to work in Alaska.
