Wednesday, January 28, 2004

You heard it first here... (Jan 25) 

According to the Associated Press, today:

The Bush administration, deeply concerned about recent assassination attempts against Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf and a resurgence of Taliban forces in neighboring Afghanistan, is preparing a U.S. military offensive that would reach inside Pakistan with the goal of destroying Osama bin Laden's Al Qaeda network, military sources said.

True, I got it from Stratfor, but most TigerHawk readers saw it here on January 25. Interesting and troubling. And if you didn't read my post on Sunday, now would be a good time.

The AP article posits that we could see a U.S. offensive against Al-Qaeda inside Pakistan as early as this spring, well before the November election. Obviously, this is very different than the scenario predicted by Stratfor, which supposed that the White House would wait until after the United States general election. Will we catch Bin Laden, or confirm that he is dead, by fall? What would be the implications of such an action in the Islamic world, for Kashmir, and for U.S. presidential election?


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