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Saturday, December 20, 2008

Sea ice watch 


Steven Goddard, writing at Watts Up With That, takes a hard look at Antarctic sea ice and temperature and thinks he has found another flaw with the leading climate models.

Meanwhile, I have made it to our place in the Adirondacks, just north of Tupper Lake. At 8:30 in the evening on the night before the first day of winter, it is -3 Farenheit. There are heaps of snow everywhere, and plenty of lake ice. If the sun were shining, this is what it would look at our main camp, a hundred yards down the road:


Our main camp


2 Comments:

By Blogger smitty1e, at Sat Dec 20, 09:39:00 PM:

OMG, you heretic!
What about the narrative?
Have a Hopey Changemas!  

By Blogger Brian, at Sun Dec 21, 08:06:00 PM:

Models predict slow warming in the Antarctic. A minor variation is a minor variation.

Also interesting, I couldn't find how the UAH define their baseline. I'd assume a floating average against their own data over time, which will downplay heating as compared to a set baseline that is less influenced by anthropogenic climate change.

But it's very smart to switch the anecdotes away from the Arctic ice, as that hasn't been going well at all in the last month:

http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_timeseries.png

The smart delayist tactic: avoid discussing any recent evidence that's one more example of an obvious ongoing trend, and seize on minor deviations from the trend instead.  

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