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Saturday, August 09, 2008

Georgia at war 


Stratfor (subscribe here!) has produced a map of the conflict in South Ossetia; excerpts of their narrative follows the map:


Stratfor map of the conflict in South Ossetia


Georgian military units surged into the breakaway republic of South Ossetia on Aug. 7, reportedly after enduring days of shelling by separatist militants. Russia responded forcefully. By the morning of Aug. 8, a vanguard of Russian tanks, armored vehicles and self-propelled artillery had emerged south of the Roki Tunnel and eventually progressed to Tskhinvali, the South Ossetian capital. The exact size and composition of the Russian formation is not clear, though reports have suggested the initial unit involved some 150 vehicles. Units of the 58th Combined Arms Army — which very likely includes elements of the 19th Motorized Rifle Division, based near the border — are thought to be among those that have reached Tskhinvali.

Stratfor has estimated the standing order of battle of the nearby portions of the Northern Caucasus Military District and the nearest Russian base.

The disposition of the Georgian units at this point is even less clear.

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