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Saturday, September 01, 2007

The Atlantic hurricane season 


We're more than half done, and the Atlantic hurricane season is not -- yet -- shaping up as predicted. The Wikipedia entry on the subject is quite interesting and chock full o' resources.


4 Comments:

By Anonymous Anonymous, at Sat Sep 01, 12:14:00 PM:

Ditto for the Pacific basin and points west, i.e., the Indian Ocean. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php covers a nice swath of the other side of the globe that US MSM ignores unless it's something spectacular. BTW ignore the "certificate error" message your browser may generate; this site is run by the US Navy and they don't much care about certificates since they know who their main users are.

In the past I've seen typhoons and tropical storms swirl across the Pacific as if on a conveyor belt not this year, so far, or last year either.

Kinda matches what's going on the much smaller Atlantic basin.  

By Anonymous Anonymous, at Sat Sep 01, 01:22:00 PM:

"...and the Atlantic hurricane season is not -- yet -- shaping up as predicted."

(yawn)

It's hard to imagine anything more ridiculous than hurricane predictions, both generally and specifically.

From Wikipedia:

"The potential for at least one major hurricane impacting the U.S. was increased to 74%, with the U.S. East Coast potential increased to 50%-"

Can you imagine saying there's a 3-in-4 chance of being hit by a hurricane when there were ZERO hits the year before? It's all statistics to these guys, and pretty shaky statistics, at that.

Question: When was the last time 8 hurricanes struck American shores over a span of two years?

Never?

The whole impression I got from the Wikipedia article was that 2004 and 2005 were just 'business as usual' years, but I'd like to know when was the last time we got hit by 4 hurricanes even ONE year in a row. There have been some pretty spectacular hurricanes over the years (Camille, Andrew, etc), but they were singular events.

And, when it comes to predicting the paths of individual hurricanes, all one has to do is look at the path of Hurricane Jeanne (2004) to realize that we really don't have a friggin' clue when it comes to predicting its path for more than a day.

I was living there at the time. It was quite something.

Apart from the collective case of CYA the predictions have shown, another way the global warming activists have influenced the community is the "number of named storms".

You could liken the formation of mid-Atlantic storms to a pinwheel. Some go flinging off in one direction, some go flinging off in our direction. Typically, the only storms that are named are those that are likely to affect us.

After 2004, with the global warmists screaming that the sudden increases in hurricane activity was solely due to evil mankind's intervention in our heretofore pristine atmosphere, NOAA started naming everything that popped up. The next thing ya know, they've run out of names. Proof positive that global warming creates more hurricanes and thus emperils your very life.

Me, I'm currently living at Ground Zero, hurricane-wise. And I don't mean any old Ground Zero, I mean the heavy-duty, industrial-strength stuff:

I'm living in the Florida Keys.

On a boat.

Facing the Atlantic Ocean.

Gulp. :)

Actually, I'm about a quarter mile inland, in a marina with great big triple pilons to lash ourselves (the boats, I mean) to come the Big One. The area saw both Katrina and Wilma and lived to tell the tale, so I'm sure we'll be fine.

Gulp. :)  

By Blogger Diane Wilson, at Sat Sep 01, 04:02:00 PM:

Hurricane season doesn't actually get rowdy until late August through the end of October. Too early to get our knickers in a twist yet.  

By Anonymous Anonymous, at Sun Sep 02, 12:29:00 AM:

So much for all this global warming poppycock and still we here this global warming lies from the lie a day liberal left-wing news media and blabbering idiots like AL GORE and JOHN EDWARDS  

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