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Wednesday, August 24, 2005

Summer Blogging 

The weather in the New York area is startlingly and unusually beautiful at the moment, which in turn has led to light blogging and heavy vacationing. I do want to chime in on Charlottesvillain's comment on Buchanan's political analysis. It is exceptionally ironic that Pat Buchanan, an isolationist, quasi fascist, xenophobic fringe rightwinger has correctly identified the problem posed by the fringe left to the Democratic Party. The fringe ain't 5-10% to the left as it is to the right. It might be as large as 33%. It is this exact split that derailed Lyndon Johnson in 1968, that fomented the disaster of the 1968 Democratic Party convention in Chicago, and why, in times of war, the Democratic Party seems desperately unlikely to secure the Presidency. The President's first job is to ensure the nation's security, and the American people don't seem inclined to trust the Democratic Party with that job despite George W. Bush's weaknesses. Imagine for a moment that a war continues in 2008 and the Republicans put forward a stronger candidate. It could be a runaway for the Republicans...

4 Comments:

By Anonymous maizecon, at Wed Aug 24, 04:13:00 PM:

Democrats win 30 of 50 states: Hillary promises troops home before Christmas

I cannot see the Republicans winning in 2008 with more than a token presence in Iraq or an attack by the new nominee on Bush and a promise to end the war immediately. 51% may not trust democrats to fight the war, but they may trust democrats to end it.  

By Blogger Cardinalpark, at Thu Aug 25, 07:44:00 AM:

I cannot fathom your perspective. It isn't grounded in any historical experience. Vietnam, the famed Holy Grail of recent American war experience, saw the election of Republican Richard Nixon not once, but twice; the second time in an unprecedented landslide. That war, commenced under a Democratic Party president, was ended (stupidly, badly, ashamedly) by Republicans. The Cold War, launched as such during the Truman Administration, was ultimately ended by Ronald Reagan. Richard Nixon opened China. So where do you get the empirical evidence to support that the American people, in recent history, will trust the Democratic Party on the topic? The FDR legacy is long dead and buried, laid to rest by LBJ. The American people will trust Howard Dean? Or Hillary Clinton? Let's see. It's a long way off. But it seems to me that the best chance for a Democratic Party victory in 2008 is if the country is in a state of profound peace and calm...like the 90s.  

By Blogger cakreiz, at Thu Aug 25, 07:55:00 AM:

Cardinal: exactly. History has been rewritten to ignore the fact that Americans supported Nixon twice, even in the depths of the anti-war protests. Bottom-line: we want security. A dovish president isn't going to happen when foreign policy and security are major issues.  

By Blogger cakreiz, at Thu Aug 25, 07:57:00 AM:

Hillary's only chance is to reposition herself as a moderate hawk. I don't know if she can pull this off.  

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