Friday, November 11, 2005
Al-Qaida in Iraq, the terrorist group headed by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, has broken with local Sunni Muslim Arab insurgent groups in central Iraq, in some cases resulting in gunbattles on the street....
The groups have fallen into disputes about money and tactics, including over whether to participate in Iraq's political system. Residents think the strong support al-Qaida in Iraq has had in Anbar province is starting to fracture, if not completely break. The group is dominated by non-Iraqis.
This does not mean that support in Iraq for the United States is growing, but if the Sunnis of Iraq and Jordan turn against al Qaeda we will score an important strategic victory in the wider war even if we do not resolve all conflict among the ethnic groups of either country.
Here's my take on the Amman bombings - they were not random, nor directed at Jordan per se.
Exhibit A) A high ranking PA general in charge of security was killed.
Exhibit B) The general was cooperating with IDF and Shin Bet to crack down on the extremists.
A+B == Jordan just happened to be a convenient place for the hit to take place.