Sunday, August 30, 2009
We are coming to this a bit late, but on Thursday Rasmussen released a new poll that has Republican gubernatorial candidate Chris Christie ahead of Obama endorsee Jon Corzine by 11 points. The poll was taken after the latest bit of mildly bad news for Christie:
A Rasmussen Reports poll released this morning shows Republican gubernatorial nominee Chris Christie leading Governor Corzine by 11 points – a small narrowing of the gap since the company’s last poll, but within its margin of error.
The bad news for Christie is that his negatives have gone up dramatically.
The automated survey was conducted on Tuesday -- well after highly publicized negative news stories broke about Christie’s loan to former U.S. Attorney staffer Michele Brown and his conversations with Karl Rove.
Here's the underlying Rasmussen release, which reports as an aside that the Republicans are also in front in Virginia (the other gubernatorial election this November), there by 9 points.
It will be interesting to see whether the Democrats stick with Corzine, or whether he will pull a Torricelli. Christie's hopes fade fast if that happens, I think.
Corzine doesn't depend on the machine for future employment, so they don't have the same hold over him as they did with Torricelli. So, this time, it's up to the candidate himself whether or not he walks away before election day. My bet is that he is enough encouraged by his polling gains that he doesn't walk away. Does that mean Christie can win? Is it possible to be a hopeful skeptic? If so, that's me.
Corzine is going down, and it could be by big numbers: Quinnipiac.
Corzine is not drawing indies, while Christie is, and when voters give up on Chris Daggett or he does the right thing and leaves the race, his voters should break hard for Christie.
The party pressure on Corzine must really be mounting to leave the race while the Democrats still have time to campaign.